Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.031763 0.034142 0.036521 0.039075 0.041736 0.044423 0.047339
2025-09-28 0.026371 0.030065 0.033888 0.038123 0.042669 0.047388 0.052641
2025-10-05 0.024020 0.028623 0.033506 0.039040 0.045101 0.051509 0.058765
2025-10-12 0.021733 0.026941 0.032589 0.039113 0.046383 0.054183 0.063134
2025-10-19 0.019792 0.025446 0.031703 0.039054 0.047367 0.056402 0.066887
2025-10-26 0.018673 0.024774 0.031644 0.039829 0.049200 0.059489 0.071537
2025-11-02 0.017360 0.023776 0.031123 0.039999 0.050282 0.061682 0.075143
2025-11-09 0.016098 0.022750 0.030496 0.039981 0.051089 0.063518 0.078308
2025-11-16 0.014957 0.021800 0.029898 0.039940 0.051825 0.065233 0.081304
2025-11-23 0.013842 0.020815 0.029203 0.039735 0.052325 0.066646 0.083926
2025-11-30 0.012887 0.019977 0.028641 0.039648 0.052931 0.068152 0.086632
2025-12-07 0.011798 0.018908 0.027745 0.039112 0.052966 0.068965 0.088514
2025-12-14 0.010729 0.017852 0.026871 0.038632 0.053119 0.069986 0.090734
2025-12-21 0.009514 0.016540 0.025631 0.037671 0.052676 0.070305 0.092149
2025-12-28 0.009172 0.016404 0.025892 0.038579 0.054505 0.073320 0.096736
2026-01-04 0.008528 0.015804 0.025514 0.038652 0.055288 0.075071 0.099821
2026-01-11 0.007886 0.015166 0.025054 0.038593 0.055887 0.076587 0.102617
2026-01-18 0.007594 0.015021 0.025242 0.039362 0.057514 0.079342 0.106893
2026-01-25 0.007112 0.014564 0.024985 0.039532 0.058374 0.081159 0.110041
2026-02-01 0.006603 0.014031 0.024599 0.039513 0.058982 0.082657 0.112800
2026-02-08 0.006122 0.013514 0.024211 0.039473 0.059548 0.084094 0.115478
2026-02-15 0.005626 0.012939 0.023717 0.039269 0.059888 0.085242 0.117800
2026-02-22 0.005199 0.012448 0.023322 0.039183 0.060367 0.086553 0.120312